Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.238238 0.270388 0.304773 0.344225 0.388181 0.435591 0.490534
2025-10-12 0.198932 0.242818 0.292781 0.353662 0.425621 0.507730 0.608270
2025-10-19 0.168227 0.218627 0.279156 0.356757 0.453102 0.568249 0.715696
2025-10-26 0.147451 0.202507 0.271796 0.364615 0.484810 0.634207 0.832824
2025-11-02 0.132283 0.190903 0.267817 0.374928 0.518827 0.703869 0.957935
2025-11-09 0.115875 0.175241 0.256243 0.373198 0.535752 0.751388 1.056266
2025-11-16 0.102681 0.162216 0.246453 0.372188 0.552446 0.798399 1.155433
2025-11-23 0.091467 0.150593 0.237161 0.370450 0.567108 0.842488 1.252010
2025-11-30 0.084517 0.144485 0.235049 0.378441 0.595510 0.906560 1.379102
2025-12-07 0.076592 0.135901 0.228245 0.378503 0.611718 0.953429 1.483311
2025-12-14 0.069678 0.128144 0.221876 0.378416 0.627191 0.999427 1.587847
2025-12-21 0.063752 0.121363 0.216350 0.378969 0.643259 1.046602 1.695806
2025-12-28 0.059283 0.116805 0.214319 0.385398 0.669612 1.111810 1.836142
2026-01-04 0.055962 0.113929 0.214819 0.395949 0.703113 1.189692 1.999803
2026-01-11 0.051794 0.109033 0.211367 0.399428 0.725030 1.250207 2.138929
2026-01-18 0.048834 0.106085 0.211040 0.408150 0.756028 1.326537 2.306497
2026-01-25 0.046514 0.104118 0.212262 0.419569 0.792101 1.412617 2.493425
2026-02-01 0.042636 0.098595 0.206398 0.417664 0.804720 1.460229 2.619038
2026-02-08 0.039242 0.093684 0.201230 0.416550 0.818457 1.510056 2.750131
2026-02-15 0.036084 0.088912 0.195892 0.414629 0.830431 1.557146 2.878264
2026-02-22 0.034364 0.087080 0.196197 0.423467 0.862436 1.640107 3.070885
2026-03-01 0.031895 0.083291 0.192198 0.423536 0.877985 1.694681 3.216321
2026-03-08 0.029625 0.079701 0.188288 0.423440 0.893074 1.748891 3.363041